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Post peak oil die-off can't be avoided by any means
by Jerry Abbott •
Monday November 08, 2004 at 02:52 PM
goatlyones@moonshinehollow.com Hillsboro, West Virginia, USA
The steady decline in fossil fuel availability will at some point trigger an end to mechanized, chemically assisted agriculture. Global food production will drop to 10% of what it had been, and about 95% of the world's population will starve.
It is not possible to rescue most of humanity from death by famine or by war. Corrective measures that might have had some significant effect, if imposed 60 years ago and rigorously enforced thereafter will not save us now. It's simply too late.
During the Middle Ages, for several centuries the human population of Earth hovered around 500 million. And that's exactly where it will return by the year 2100. From a high somewhere between eight and twelve billion in 2045, the human population will suffer war- and famine-related losses averaging perhaps 150 to 200 million lives per year for the next half-century.
The reason the global human population was restricted to a half billion for so long is that a half billion is about as many people as hand-tool and compost-heap farming could support. The industrial revolution, the invention of the tractor and the mechanical harvester, the discovery of chemical stimulants for farm crops (made from oil), and the development of chemical pesticides (also made from oil) are what made our tremendous population growth possible.
We are running out of oil. And we will run into trouble before the oil is completely gone. Agribusiness is, after all, a business: it will be carried on for as long as it can be carried on profitably, and not one day longer.
Every species of living organism follows a characteristic pattern of population growth. If the species' numbers are not limited by predators, then they will be limited by the full utilization or by the depletion of the first essential resource to fall into short supply. Often, that resource is food.
When caribou were introduced to a Canadian island years ago, they had much moss to eat. But there were no wolves on the island, so over the years the caribou kept munching on moss and breeding up more caribou. The herd grew in numbers. Then, one year right before winter, one of the caribou ate the last mouthful of moss. Canadian foresters were able to save the last three dozen animals of what had been a herd of thousands.
The end came swiftly. A generation before the end, there was no obvious sign that the end was near.
That is where we are with the energy resources we require to grow our food. At the moment, optimists abound with ideas about new technologies and alternative energy. None of those ideas will save us.
Nuclear power? If a sufficient number of reactors had been built already (assuming they were safe), then we could keep our lights on until we passed "peak uranium" in 50 more years. We might have used some of the electricity generated by nuclear fission to electrolyze water and so obtain hydrogen to run machines, but you can't get artificial fertilizers and pesticides from uranium. But, alas, those reactors weren't built, and now it is too late to build them. We need oil to build reactors, and only after the reactors are built can we get any energy from them. And they never did get the safety kinks out, anyway.
Solar power? Good idea in principle, but not nearly good enough in practice. To be sure, more than enough energy from sunlight strikes Earth to make up for a complete loss of fossil fuels. There's just the little problem that a solar energy panel of sufficient size does not exist and cannot be built. And, like nuclear reactors, solar panels must be constructed with a source of already available energy - which we soon will not have. So while a few people might keep the lights on in their houses, or heat their water, with solar energy, it isn't a means of running our whole civilization or continuing with mechanized agriculture.
Hydrogen fuel cells? Forget that. To create a hydrogen fuel cell, you must spend three times the energy that you can recover by burning the hydrogen it contains. Hydrogen is not an energy "source"; it's an energy carrier. (Think: flashlight battery.)
Okay, let's go Star Trek for a minute: antimatter. Can antimatter possibly save humanity from almost complete starvation? No. Antimatter is also an energy carrier, not an energy source. It is made in subatomic particle accelerators one little positron or anti-proton at a time and warehoused in magnetic fields. Although the energy to be recovered by reacting antimatter with matter is tremendous, it requires an even more tremendous expenditure of energy to get the antimatter to begin with.
The optimists, all of them, are wrong. There simply is no way to save the mass of Mankind. Most of us are going to die, and there is nothing that can prevent it.
Now, you don't have to be one of them. The situation is a bit like the two men in the story who, while taking a walk through the woods, meet a hungry bear. The bear, knowing dinner when it sees it, licks its chops and goes running at the men. The men, not wanting to be the bear's dinner, begin running in the other direction.
Suddenly, one of the men shouts: "Wait! I've got an idea!" He stops running, and so does the other man. Sitting on a tree stump, the man who shouted takes off his stiff formal business shoes and puts on his sneakers.
"What are you doing?" the other man asks, alarmed because the bear is rapidly getting closer. "What is your brilliant idea?"
"I just realized that I don't need to outrun the bear," said the man now wearing the sneakers. "Only you." And off he runs.
If you prepare yourself well enough to survive while others die, if you can live until the world's human population is again in balance with the food supply, then you will have escaped from the apocalyptic bear.
Abandon all hope, however, that the masses can be saved. They cannot be, not by any means. The arithmetic is simple, and there is only one right answer.
When hard times become really hard, there will be strong efforts by those who did not prepare to take food and fuel away from the prepared. Some of this robbery will be the usual informal banditry: "Stick-em-up, hand over that jar of peas and nobody gets hurt." And some of it will be more formal and institutional: the local constable or sheriff, following the tax assessor's route through the local area, will try to discover how much food you have, and then he'll confiscate most of it.
The justification bandied about for the institutional banditry will be that "hoarding is evil." Nothing could be further from the truth, and anyway the word "hoarding" is a maliciously loaded term. It implies that evil exists where there is none; it confuses robbery with fairness; it sets at naught the virtues of wisdom and frugality; it sacrifices the interests of better people to those of worse.
At present, and for the next few years, it will be possible for anyone to make himself better prepared for the coming hard times. Anyone at all can join the ranks of the prudent, the foresightful, the wise. All he needs to do is reduce his consumption of luxury goods, pleasure goods, and other frivolities, investing the money instead in more sensible famine preparations. Anyone who will not do that has chosen not to do it.
Everyone should live or die by his own decisions. When the times become very bad, no one will have a moral claim on anyone else's goods or time. It is wrong to require the provident to support the self-indulgent; it is wrong to force the wise to share with the fools. Anti-hoarding laws won't save anybody. They will only ensure that everyone dies together.
There is no way to save everybody, and it matters which people do the surviving.
What an utter load of garbage!
by your a sad sick piece of neo-nazi shit
Monday November 08, 2004 at 04:26 PM
"There is no way to save everybody, and it matters which people [of course what the piece of shit that wrote this article means is "which race"] do the surviving."
The author of this article is a white supremacist
by Troll
Monday November 08, 2004 at 05:05 PM
These are the kind of shit who love Peak Oil. I hadn't raised this before because it did not seem fair to lump in all the people who believe the ASPO with this crap - but since they are now posting here openly... Maybe progressive people here should re-consider who you allign yourselves with and what purpose your "pessimistic" ideology can serve if you are not carefull...
See link to "Jerry's Aryan Battle Page":
www.jabpage.org/
inbreeding is a looming problem
by cornhole
Monday November 08, 2004 at 05:13 PM
Oil is not well. either, interesting years ahead for oil prices.
The wit and wisdom of Jerry Abbott
by Troll - proudly mixed race
Monday November 08, 2004 at 05:21 PM
I couldn't decide which bit I like best... So I thought I'd re-post the whole thing for you morons:
---------------------------------------
The Apocalypse It has begun.
Jerry Abbott, February 2004.
"Children died, days grew cold, a crust of bread would buy a bag of gold." —Christian Hymn
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
In the early 20th century, Adolf Hitler and Germany offered the world a philosophy and a way of living that was probably the single hope for Mankind's effective surmounting of the disaster that is now nearly upon us. Hitler's ideas were arrogantly and viciously rejected. But National Socialism was the right way to live: in intelligent accord with nature. By refusing it, humanity incurred a penalty, and payment will soon be enforced by the laws of nature.
The depletion of crude oil reserves and natural gas during the early 21st century will cause the collapse of industrial civilization and a reduction of the world's human population to levels consistent with hoe-and-spade agriculture. Others have already described it well. For examples, see these pages:
http://dieoff.org/page137.htm
http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/
To the warnings of David Price and Matt Savinar, I will make my own modest contribution.
Since the 1960s, people in the know with the oil industry have been warning of the eventual depletion of fossil fuels. They've been saying that our world will be broken, civilization smashed, when the deposits of crude oil run out. Every informed prediction placed the onset of the cataclysm in the first half of the 21st century, with the troubles continuing until the early 22nd.
Among the more interesting predictions is this one. The world's population in 2050 is expected to be between 9 billion and 11 billion. In 2100, though, the world's population is expected to be four billion at most and possibly as few as 400 million. Canada, the USA, and Mexico at present have more people than this between them.
Certain UN projections made since World3 have been "sanitized" for political reasons. Don't believe any projection that simply shows the human population of the globe going up without end. You can find one of those falsely optimistic charts here. My graph below is a more accurate picture of Earth's future human population.
Indeed, the lower population figure may be optimistic. For several centuries during the Middle Ages, the human population of the world hovered around 400 million, which can be presumed the stable population level based on hoe-and-spade agriculture, if augmented by an established system of agricultural trade. Mechanized agriculture, through the overuse of tractors (resulting in lost topsoil) and artificial fertilizers (resulting in sterile topsoil), will have made the Earth much less responsive to hoe-and-spade farming in 2100 than it was in 1200.
Can you appreciate what that must mean? It means that there's going to be a massive die-off of humanity, along with a great deal of this planet's life. What will happen in the next hundred years will be of geological importance, the like of which hasn't happened since the extinction of the dinosaurs, 65 million years ago.
We are about to get clobbered. Technology won't save us. Technology was invented to use energy; it doesn't create new energy resources. Even technological improvements in our ability to tap energy depend on the availability of a sufficient energy resource to be tapped. That's the problem: there won't be any such resource. There never will be a "Star Trek" future. Homo sapiens is nearly finished as a technical species.
Oh, we might have done it. We might have reached the methane oceans of Titan, or set up ten thousand nuclear reactors on the moon. With the resources of the whole solar system at our command, we might have found even interstellar travel possible. But we didn't take advantage of the generous window of opportunity that nature had given us. And now it's too late. Burn your science fiction books; they'll only make our descendants sad for a future that will never be theirs. But keep your fantasy novels. They'll enjoy those.
Our government won't protect us. It isn't even going to try. The politicians have begun looking upon their own electorates as the primary threat to their safety. When the crash happens, people will understand that they were misled and betrayed. The new security measures, including the closure of Pennsylvania Avenue and the concrete bunkering of the British Parliament aren't wards against terrorists. They're wards against you. A great deal of the changes in the national security practices of Western countries, lately, has been made in anticipation of defending the national betrayers from the national population. And as the economic situation worsens, the government elites will provide themselves with more of that kind of "national security" (all for them, none for us) while stridently directing your attention at supposed foreign threats.
Now it is clear why the government has been so strongly in favor of the stinking drunk stupid policies of diversity and multiculturalism. To the Jews, multiculturalism is their method for divide-and-rule. (An irony encountered repeatedly in Jewish public rhetoric is that they move to bring about the opposite of what they say they intend. In this case, the Jews preach "harmony" and "unity" while promoting multicultural policies that ensure hostility and division.) But to the governing elite, to the White political race-traitors, there's an even darker motive for mixing the races. Their aim is to ensure that Whites will be so pressed by racial enemies, after the Industrial Age closes, that they will be unable to punish the Betrayers.
There are two ways to explain the die-off.
The strong conspiracy theory goes that the Betrayers knew long ago that industrial development would eventually lead to a massive die-off of the human species, and they have worked hard to ensure that the extinction will be as complete as possible for everyone except themselves. That's why the Africans have been fed, with US food aid, until their populations are far beyond what they could support with their own agricultural endeavors. The farther the overshoot of the resource base, the more complete is the extinction which follows it.
For a similar reason, the strong theory also explains why American farmland has been so greatly abused with industrial processes that it won't even support the American population when the physical prerequisites for carrying out those processes are no longer available.
In the strong theory, the objective of the Betrayers is to gain the whole world, such as it will remain, for themselves to repopulate at their leisure. The humanitarian rhetoric about "feeding the hungry," when it was obvious that the major result would be larger numbers of hungry people in the future, was a cynical pandering to public sentiment.
The weak conspiracy theory says that the crash will be so hard on humanity because corporate greed and governmental apathy just happened to coincide in favor of simultaneous abrupt collapses of mechanized agriculture and global trade and with a very overextended human population. Hence, no deliberate plan to magnify the shock and completeness of the starvation need be posited to account for the circumstances that will soon exist.
Because we have seen that governments can act with determined vigor on matters of importance to those in power, as with war and punitive sanctions, it seems unlikely that government was unable to intervene in the course of history while a correction was possible. But judge between the explanations for yourself.
Police officers and soldiers are often among the best of people. You'd think they could do something better than fight to impose the will of the worst of people on everybody else through laws and wars.
You have maybe 20 years to provision and fortify yourself against privation, happenstance, and banditry. Cities will be worse than the countryside, but the countryside will certainly not be safe. Humanity may become extinct in very large regions, surviving only in pockets where food will still grow. Get yourself into one of those pockets, then, before the competition gets too stiff. Buy a few acres of land. Secure your title from legal challenges. Secure your possession from illegal ones. Provision yourself against natural ones. Keep a low profile. Listen to the wind. Heed your instinctive warning feelings. And wait.
I'm 44 years old. My parents' generation was the last not to be affected by the depletion of fossil fuels. My generation will be the first to be affected somewhat—about when I'm 65 years old. Since beyond that moment retirement will be the same as death, you can appreciate the morbid, cynical joke implied by the phrase "retirement age." My daughter's generation will be the first to be hit hard in mid-life. My grandchildren will live most of their lives after the crash. My great-grandchildren will never know any other life but that of the post-industrial chaos.
If anything deserves to be called the Apocalypse of the Book of Revelations, then the 21st century die-off surely is it. Nasty times are coming. They won't last forever, but they will occupy perhaps 50 to 90 years of the near future. When those who are to die in the troubles have died, when all those who remain are able to support themselves without electricity or petro-chemicals, then people can begin to trust each other again. But not before. You must carry your family successfully through every one of the dangerous years, during which one misstep, a single error of judgment, might be fatal.
National Socialism offered us genuine salvation in the 1930s. We chose the opium of materialism, the cocaine of Democracy, and the methamphetimine of decadent amusements, instead. And so, we've failed, and Earth will never get another chance produce a species able to climb out of its planetary cradle. We had our chance, and we lost it through treason and stupidity. We became deluded with the fantasies of racial equality and capitalism. The Jews, never ones to value eternal destinies, used these ideas as political weapons, but they were able to harm us so much only because we were criminally gullible.
It's possible, though not certain, that 2004 is the last year in which our present civilization can carry on with business as usual. After the presidential election this November, some of the political pressure to keep the oil prices from hitting their first spikes will be off. Petroleum will become much more costly; and consequently so will the cost of manufacturing and distributing goods. If you want to prepare for the crash, you'd probably better do it this year. Although it might be possible for another 20 years to obtain necessary goods, their prices may rise sharply after 2004.
I've been hearing objections to the Peak Oil argument that have been fully answered already by the criticized writers. I answer, again, the most common objection. Nuclear power can't become available fast enough to offset the lessening power available from fossil fuels. Neither can any other energy source be made sufficient in the remaining time. It's too late, now, to avoid a hard crash.
The human lifespan is short in relation to the march of events in history. The generation that must die off was "outvoted" by the generations that enjoyed the good times. Or, rather, the generation that must face its own destruction never had a chance to vote in opposition to the course of action that made that destruction unavoidable.
Threat assessment for US counties. Threat assessment for Eastern US. Threat assessment for the US lower Midwest. Threat assessment for the US West Coast. Threat assessment for Pocahontas County, West Virginia. Threat assessment for Northwest Georgia. Incidentally, the "people" images decorating the US Census website heavily exaggerate the proportion of non-Whites in the US population. I counted four niggers, a spic, an Asian, and three Whites. I think that two of the "Whites" were Jews. Blacks are over-represented by a factor of 3.4. Aryans are under-represented by a factor of 6.6. Jews are over-represented by a factor of 8.2. Who's being erased here?
See my remarks concerning Philosophy on the Apocalypse and Race Wars.
For further reading:
Oilcrash: What to do? The Busby Report by John Busby Interdependence Day LO28816, by Heidi and Dan Chay
Interdependence, as the term is meant by liberals, is a dangerous socialist myth that leads to a "tragedy in the commons" kind of failure. True interdependence is an organic growth of trust and custom; it can never be achieved through social engineering. True interdependence never needs to be advertized or advocated: it develops naturally over time. Consequently, when you hear "interdependence" being touted by someone as the answer to any global problem, the sort of interdependence being referred to is nearly always a false hope. The slightest whiff of bureaucracy or legal coercion invalidates any scheme of socio-economic interdependence.
The Deniers.
A verbose group of die-off deniers make arguments of the sort that you can read at Discovering Infinity, by Rolf. A. F. Witzsche, Vol. 5, "Scientific Government and Self-Government." Such arguments as these are malicious. Their purpose is to provide governments with a seemingly intellectual justification for permitting capitalism to continue with business as usual for a while longer, and to permit the governing elites the necessary time to ward themselves more completely against the wrath of a betrayed and vengeful population, too late awakened to their peril.
You'll find some deniers trying to distract you with irrelevant facts, such as, "More energy from the sun strikes Earth in one day than was obtained in all the fossil fuels ever burned." Oh? And where are the solar power arrays that can output enough electricity to replace fossil fuels? There is no such extensive array, and there isn't the means to build one. This denier argument and similar ones are nothing but a means of confusing the issue.
The Rolf Witzsche brand of arguments are even more wickedly deceptive. (Note the gratuitous slander of Adolf Hitler in the 2nd paragraph of his page.) The pivotal lie upon which most of the rest is based is this one: "Ortis, however, left out one important factor, namely, that the very population increases that he had observed, that he had based his calculations on, were themselves the result of scientific and technological advances which create new resources that do not exist naturally."
That's the Big Lie. Scientific and technological advances DO NOT create new resources. They merely improve the means of reaching and tapping resources that do exist naturally. Throughout human history, technical advances have always had a higher and denser energy resource to aim at tapping...until NOW! That's what's different about now.
Anyway, be aware that there are some cleverly deceptive denials of the now-unavoidable advance to the die-off.
Another type of denial.
Apart from the deliberate deceptions that would have us believe that the world's population can rise forever, or somehow find perpetual sustainability at the level of 11 billion people, there's another kind of denial. This form of denial is concerned with the causes of the die-off, rather than with the reality of the die-off itself. It asserts that there was no malice—i.e., no political conspiracy—involved in creating the circumstances that will lead to it. Prominent in this category of denial is the survivalist Kurt Saxon. You can read what he has to say on his page entitled You Can't Trust A Patriot.
Kurt Saxon gives excellent survivalist advice, and you should learn from it. And not everything he says about "the patriot movement" being a money-making market is wrong. Profiteering parasites who take unscrupulous advantage of the racial-patriotic feelings of White people do indeed exist. I know some of them. But the reason those parasites can make a buck is that, in a general sort of way, they're right. The patriot parasites aren't profiteers from false theories, but, rather, they are profiteers from true ones. And although they may be in business to make money, rather than to save their race as they pretend, they're right when they name the enemy—Jews, non-Whites, and White race traitors—and identify the danger: the destruction of the White race.
Saxon justifies the U.S. government's actions at Waco, and at Ruby Ridge, both times by putting the blame on the victims.
Randy Weaver should have sent his wife and children over to his enemies, he says, so that they would not get hurt. Saxon apparently forgot that little Sammy was shot in the back by a Federal Marshall before the standoff started, that Vicki Weaver was shot by an FBI sniper as she held her baby, that the Feds ruthlessly mocked and taunted Randy Weaver about the death of his wife, and that afterward the Feds tried to blame Randy Weaver for the murder of his own son, knowing that he'd been murdered by a federal agent. Does Saxon know that the FBI referred to their robotic messenger as a "Zogbot"?
According to Saxon, David Koresh was just an adulterous, child molesting religious nut who set his own church on fire so he could go out in a "blaze of glory." All the actions by the BATF and FBI, aside from a bit of carelessness in the beginning, were perfectly proper. If you don't know the details, Saxon's story sounds pretty good. But how do we know that these exceptionally lurid stories about David Koresh are factual? Is it at all likely that he could convince many other men to stand aside while he slept with their wives and daughters? The Bible does forbid adultery, you know, and it hardly seems probable that Bible-lored men would accept fornication and adultery on the part of a self-proclaimed reincarnation of Jesus Christ without becoming at least a little bit suspicious.
Remember that we did not hear anything about Koresh's alleged sexual sins until after the BATF fiasco that started the standoff at Waco. At first, Koresh was suspected only of federal gun-control laws violations. And one thing you can always count on a government, most definitely including the US government, doing whenever a conflict becomes high-profile, is manufacturing streams of false propaganda aimed at villifying its enemies. The U.S. government has less credibility at such times than a oft-convicted felon trying to sweet-talk his way to parole.
Saxon's efforts to portray patriotic anti-Semitism as mere scapegoating likewise fails to consider so many historical facts that they'd take volumes to write out. The trail of Jewish power and Jewish conspiracy can be traced back to ancient times, through the Middle Ages, the rise of the Jewish banking houses in Europe and their meddling in the US during the Civil War, the establishment of the Federal Reserve System, the arrogant claim by Paul Warburg that "We shall have a world government whether or not we like it," and the capture of the American political process by Zionists. When you examine the evidence in detail, you can't help but wonder why none of it seems to have persuaded Kurt Saxon that, oh yes, there is indeed a Jewish Conspiracy, a highly successful one with a global reach that no single nation, ours included, can safely defy.
Take advantage of what Kurt Saxon offers by way of survivalist advice. But when it comes to politics, you should understand that the patriot's conspiracy theories account for a lot more history and significantly more of current events than his alternative explanations do.
The semblance of authority assumed by the patriot's critics is based on an unbridled license to parcel out credibility by name-calling; e.g. those who favor the idea that history-making events proceed from rational causes are labeled "conspiracy nuts." If the patriots' cause-and-effect school of history wanted to repay their critics, by trying their hand at this propaganda trick, they could mockingly label them "accidentalists."
Surving the Apocalypse.
It is mathematically impossible for the Earth to carry the 6.4 billion people it now has without mechanized agriculture, to say nothing of the nine billion humans who will exist at the peak of the population growth curve. The crash will slam the global population back to the pre-industrial agricultural level (perhaps 2 billion) at best and, possibly, as far back as the Stone Age level (500 million or fewer).
Here's an analogy. You can "live high" on your credit cards, spending to your limit, borrowing all the money you can, and then using the money that you have to buy lots of nice things. Then the bills come due for payment, and you can't pay them, so the creditors send the sheriff to take all your nice things away from you and leave you with nothing except a bad reputation. It's very stupid for someone to try to get through life this way, but apparently there are lots of stupid people. Let's hope they all die. The very worst thing civilization did was keep the least fit humans alive so that they could breed more defective humans, and stupidity is the worst sort of defectiveness.
Mechanized agriculture permits a boom of productivity for a while, but at the expense of "burning up" the land's natural fertility. It's stupid for the same reason that abusing credit is stupid, except instead of impoverishing a single person, it impoverishes an entire world.
Just as a credit-moocher tells himself that "something" will happen to relieve him of his debt, that this get-rich-quick scheme or that chain letter will make him wealthy, and is surprised with these methods don't really work, so also do entire nations tell themselves that "someone" will "do something" about an approaching disaster. What it is, they don't know. Who will do it, they couldn't tell you. But people will deceive themselves, for as long as they can, with such lies because those lies make them feel comfortable.
In fact, someone did try to do something. His name was Adolf Hitler. And we know what happened to him, don't we? Hitler might not have foreseen the end of the Industrial Age, but the National Socialist philosophy for living with nature, respecting its limits, with an eye on eternal sustainability, would have prevented the damage that capitalist materialism was fated to do. But now it is too late even for a Hitler to save the world from the die-off. We must perforce go over Niagara in a barrel.
Not everyone will survive. Most people will die of starvation, disease or violence. That much is absolutely certain. But it matters who lives and who dies. Earth's best must not disappear from existence, and its best is the White race. Misguided though we have been, weakened by decadence though we have become, and however often we have been used for evil by the tricky Jews, we are still the most creative creatures that have ever come out of the evolutionary shuffle on this planet. We shall not give ground to any lesser race of hominid.
When the die-comes, we will be ready. We will make our own food, and we will keep it for ourselves, and we will destroy it rather than see it taken—but we will first do our best to kill anyone who tries to do the taking. If we perish we will at least have reduced the number of bandits that the next White family must face. Eventually, if we are resolute, there will be no bandits left.
While you can, get the following supplies:
A large backpack by a dependable manufacturer. Good brands include: Dana Designs, Gregory, North Face, and Osprey. Make it a large backpack, upwards of 4000 cubic inches or 65 liters. Make certain that it fits your body shape, especially your torso and hip measurements. A well-fitted backpack can let you transport for miles a load that would wear you out quickly if you tried to carry it in your arms.
Fishing hooks and animal traps. Reasons are obvious.
Starter bits and seed for farm crops. I recommend potatoes and wheat, but you decide what is best for your circumstances.
An interim supply of survival food. It should be high in nutrition density, but low in cost. You need enough of it to carry you through at least one year, and preferably two years. And your family, if you have one. Beware of rip-off artists. During the phony Y2K scare, a lot of scammers came out of the woodwork to take advantage of people's fears. Although the die-off is a real event, not a scare, the same scammers will again be out in force. Don't overpay for the necessary items, if you don't have to. If you buy them early enough, you won't have to.
Consider buying whole wheat at animal feed stores, where you can get 100 pounds of edible grain (might want to cook it first) for under $12. Make sure that the wheat is for FEED, not SEED, because seed grain is treated with poison. Animal feed wheat and people feed wheat differs mainly in the amount of chaff left in it, and not by much. You can wind-winnow the wheat to eliminate most of the excess chaff. Try sprouting the wheat germ by soaking it in water for a few hours, and afterward keeping them damp for a couple of days. Sprouted wheat kernels is among the most nutritious foods there are.
Manually operated tools. Spoons. Forks. Knives. Cleavers. Hatches. Axes. Mauls. Saws. Files. Pitchforks. Hoes. Rakes. Shovels. Hole-diggers. Drills. Screwdrivers. Hammers and nails. Mallets. Shears for paper, for pruning, for metal. A flint-and-steel mechanism for making a fire. Hand-operated grain mills and water pumps, and any necessary fittings or attachments.
A wood stove. Keeps you warm in the winter and lets you heat water and preserve food during that season. You'll need some heavy iron pots to focus the heat if you want the temperature to get high enough to boil water. You'll need a renewable supply of wood to operate the woodstove. You should probably acquire a very strongly constructed thermos bottle to cook your food in because this reduces the amount of wood that you must burn in order to do the cooking.
Kerosene. A hundred gallons of kerosene and a few kerosene lanterns. Kerosene can give you light at night, and it can facilitate the starting of fires.
Cigaret lighters. Having a hundred of these can enable you to start fires for warmth for a lifetime, provides that someone doesn't steal them from you, and provided that you don't waste their fuel on lighting cigarets. You should have stopped smoking already. The good news is that there won't be any easy way to get cigarets after the Crash, unless you grow your own tobacco. Don't.
Your car or truck. Keeping your fuel tank full of gasoline and, once the Crash makes refueling impossible, using it only for life-and-death emergencies (you're a fool if you use it for anything else, then) can be very beneficial. A supply of gasoline to the side is also useful, but be aware that gasoline separates into its paraffin components, with the lightest (pentane) gradually evolving into gas and blowing away. It has a shelf life, in other words. After there is no more gasoline, you may be able to use your vehicle as a small greenhouse or temporary shelter.
Books. Many of them are educational, and you should do your part to preserve knowledge. But just as importantly, you will need something to distract you from the sorry spectacle of all those unprepared people, running around and wailing in a panic, asking for food that you can't afford to give them, tearing the world apart in their desperation. Of course, if they try to tear your part of the world apart, you must put the book down and pick up your pistol, at least until the threat has been eliminated.
Guns. For hunting and self-defense. Stock up on ammunition of the correct calibers, and don't waste any of it on frivolous bang-bang. You'd be surprised at how much ammo I've heard jackasses living near me use up for no good reason.
Just because you might need to know...
There are 61.0237 cubic inches in a liter. There are 231 cubic inches in a gallon. There are 1728 cubic inches in a cubic foot. There are 2150.42 cubic inches in a bushel. A bushel of wheat kernels weighs about 60 pounds. A bushel of corn kernels weighs about 56 pounds. A bushel of rice grains weighs about 70 pounds. A bushel of barley grains weighs about 47 pounds. A bushel of dry oats weighs about 40 pounds. There are 16.3871 cubic centimeters in a cubic inch. There are 453.6 grams in a pound (or 16 ounces). A gallon of water weighs 8.345 pounds. There are 28.3495 grams in an ounce. There are 31.1035 grams in a Troy ounce. There are 2.54 centimeters in an inch. There are 30.48 centimeters in a foot (or 12 inches). There are 3.28084 feet in a meter. There are 1.609344 kilometers in a mile (or 5280 feet).
Apocalypse Quisine and Die-Off Desserts.
Funny section title, huh? During the early years following the termination of electric power and suspension of mechanized agriculture, lots of people will be starving to death. You need not be one of them, if you will prepare for the End sufficiently ahead of time. Our pioneer ancestors had to put up with all the hardships, dangers and privations that you will be experiencing. They were just better physically and mentally prepared to deal with their problems than you will probably be. They could kill an Indian and not feel too guilty about it, for example.
A lot of you might be wondering whether your food will lack appeal once there aren't any more restaurants that can cook for you or factories that can prepare packaged treats. I've discovered that the answer is: maybe, but not necessarily. Consider the following recipe:
Jerry Abbott's Famous Wheat Cakes - revised 4 April 2004
Light a fire in your woodstove, so that it will burn a good while. With a hand-operated mill, grind some of the wheat that you bought at the Animal Feed Store (before it went out of business) until you have made 3 cups of flour (don't pack it down). Combine the flour in a bowl with 3/4 cup sugar, 1/2 teaspoon salt, and 1/2 teaspoon baking powder. Mix well. Add enough water to make dough. Put dough into a 12-biscuit pan in even dollops. Put pan on top of wood stove and cover with a cast-iron lid to keep the heat in. Wait until the cakes are done baking, then remove from heat and let cool. If desired, smear a little peanut butter on top of the cakes for icing. Makes a dozen small cakes. Great served with coffee, if you have any.
When cooking over a wood stove, the bottom of a pan sometimes gets too hot causing food to burn and stick to the pan. Partly, this problem can be overcome through flouring the pan before pouring the dough in. But a full remedy involves elevating the bottom of the pan over the top of the wood stove with a metal grill set 1/4 to 1/2 inch over the stove. It is necessary, then, to set a heavy metal cover (such as a cast-iron lid) over the top of the pan to contain and spread the heat from the fire in such a way that it evenly cooks the food.
I just now made some of these wheat cakes, and after eating three of them I don't hesitate to give them my complete endorsement. They taste better than most vending machine snacks, and they're healthier to eat. Not to mention a lot cheaper.
A rambling comment.
I think that possibly the 9/11 attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon were largely contrived by the U.S. government itself, in collusion with the government of Israel and with the voluntary cooperation of Osama bin Laden. Why do I think so?
Well-established air traffic control policies, including the scrambling of military fighters to investigate commercial flight path deviations, were disregarded for enough time to allow the hijackers to do their jobs. It doesn't appear to be a slip-up due to technical failure or someone sleeping on the job.
Several European governments, including that of France, gave the U.S. government ample advance warning of the impending attacks, including who was involved and how it would probably be carried out.
There are known links between the family of George Bush and the family of Osama bin Laden.
Restraint was placed on US military forces in Afghanistan, preventing the capture of the Al Quaeda leaders "too soon" because it wasn't desirable to focus US objectives in the region "too narrowly."
The Bush administration put pressure on the CIA to find some link - any link - between Al Quaeda and Iraq. The demand was made repeatedly. The CIA was repeatedly unable to discover any such link.
Paul Wolfowitz has as much as admitted that the "weapons of mass destruction" justification for attacking Iraq was a convenient, and false, pretext...all along.
One explanation accounts for all the above facts. The U.S. government, including President Bush, appears to have been engaged in a pattern of conspiracy that includes multiple acts of high treason against the United States by the definition of the crime given in the U.S. Constitution. The U.S. government appears to have committed, or facilitated the commisions of, acts of war against American civilian targets within the territory of the United States.
I'm not the only one who has thought of it. You can read what Michael Meacher says in THE GUARDIAN at
http://politics.guardian.co.uk/iraq/comment/0,12956,1036687,00.html
The objective of this conspiracy, since before 9-11, indeed since before Bush was elected President, was to secure control of Middle Eastern oil for the use of the United States and Israel. Historically and logically, this is more than sufficient reason to conspire, more than ample reason to act. But, owing to the humanitarian sentiments of most Americans and to the habitual duplicity of the Jews, the governments of Israel the the US decided to make a sneaky job of it, incidentally sacrificing the World Trade Center towers along the way.
Why did Osama bin Laden cooperate, as he evidently did? Maybe he did it to become a hero in the eyes of the Arab peoples among whom he lives. Or perhaps he was the victim of Jewish deception and manipulation.
What is absolutely clear is that Americans were lied into yet another war. What is also clear is that the leaders of the United States and Israel are determined to have, to use for their own ends, the last remnant of Earth's fossil fuels so that they can begin the post-industrial age with an advantage over all rival groups. Though I'm not certain what the status of the average Jew is in their schemes, I'm quite certain that the status of the average American (and the average Canadian or European) is expendable. In this game, the Arabs are our allies, simply because they are in the same castaway position as we find ourselves.
After the chaos of the die-off period is over, the survivors who have learned how to live without fossil fuels will probably discover that industrial civilization did not, in fact, improve human life in any important way. When the oil economy was going strong in the 1940s, the great mass of people were led to believe that leisure would soon be theirs. Not only was this a lie, it was a sneering, transparent lie that should have deceived no one. Don't believe me? Look at the ads in magazines from the 1940s. Those snappy-looking people in the luxury car, with the nice clothes, the gaudy jewelry, and the blissful, carefree faces of souls already in Heaven were supposed to have been the ordinary man and woman in just a few more years. Did it really work out that way, sucker?
All of the extravagant promises of capitalist materialism were lies. Machine civilization did spare most people the necessity of certain kinds of work, but then other kinds of work became obligatory, leaving people with no net increase of discretionary time. As the result of adopting the capitalist-consumerist way of life, most people had less free time than a farmer living by the sweat of his brow, not more. Most people became more subject to the will of someone else, not less. The toys people had were sleeker, but not as well made. The media made certain that you heard about people flying in jets, subtly implying that you could too, even though you couldn't afford it. Political and socioeconomic elites, welfare bums, and liberal-favored racial minorities soaked up wealth in vast disproportion to the value of the work they did, if they did any, and the industrial way of life was a bad deal for many workers, despite constant media propaganda to the contrary.
Now the treacherous elites, the Jews and other screw-ups who wrecked the world, are aiming to be the seed stock of a new human race, like at the end of the movie Dr. Strangelove. The worst of the bad, the ones whose ambition most greatly exceeds their competence, the very people whose queen-bee lifestyles make them the most unsuited for the life of pioneer, will try to get everyone else killed, though starvation at least, and maybe with some kind of genocidal military action as well, so that they can begin anew.
Soldiers are often brave, but they are seldom wise. Although few of them would shoot their own family members, even on orders to do so, a soldier from Seattle would kill someone else's family if he were told that the people in his gun sights were terrorists, or disloyal insurrectionists, or some other legitimizing excuse. The people whom he shoots might be the family of a soldier in St. Paul, who, at the time, is gunning down the family of a soldier from Charleston, who, in turn, is murdering the family of the soldier from Seattle.
It occurs to none of them that the result is the same as it would have been if each was tasked with the assassination of his own family.
There's another sort of foolishness to which soldiers are often prey. Once most of the goy civilian population has perished, whether through starvation or massacre makes no difference, most of the soldiers will be expendable. Some of the soldiers will understand this; some will not. But every soldier will believe the assurances he is told that he, personally, is in high favor with the decision-makers and that he should not worry that he will be among the culls when the time for culling arrives.
And when that time does arrive, every soldier selected for culling will be surprised. Every one. His former comrades, upon orders, possibly told tales of his disloyalty, will happily shoot him dead.
So, soldiers: wise up. Wise up real fast.
You federal policemen should be thinking about these things also, since you are, in a sense, soldiers in the pay of a corrupt regime, hired to oppress people with the enforcement of unjust laws. What will happen to most of the soldiers will also happen to you, though probably in a more juridic sort of way. Eventually, the laws you are biting others with will begin to bite you and yours, though you may be spared as a matter of professional courtesy for a time.
Relevant Quotations.
Perhaps the most widespread evil is the Western view of man and nature. Among us, it is widely believed that man is apart from nature, superior to it; indeed, evolution is a process to create man and seat him on the apex of the cosmic pinnacle. He views the earth as a treasury that he can plunder at will. And, indeed, the behavior of Western people, notably since the advent of the Industrial Revolution, gives incontrovertible evidence to support this assertion.
— Ian McHarg, 1971
It has often been said that, if the human species fails to make a go of it here on the Earth, some other species will take over the running. In the sense of developing intelligence this is not correct. We have or soon will have, exhausted the necessary physical prerequisites so far as this planet is concerned. With coal gone, oil gone, high-grade metallic ores gone, no species however competent can make the long climb from primitive conditions to high-level technology. This is a one-shot affair. If we fail, this planetary system fails so far as intelligence is concerned. The same will be true of other planetary systems. On each of them there will be one chance, and one chance only.
— Sir Fred Hoyle, 1964
First struggle and then we shall see what can be done. Otherwise mankind has passed the high point of its development and the end is not the domination of any ethical idea but barbarism and consequently chaos. At this point someone or other may laugh, but this planet once moved through space for millions of years without human beings and it can do so again some day if men forget that they owe their higher existence, not to the ideas of a few crazy ideologists, but to the knowledge and ruthless application of Nature's stern and rigid laws. Everything we admire on this earth today—science and art, technology and inventions—is only the creative product of a few peoples and originally perhaps of one race. On them depends the existence of this whole culture. If they perish, the beauty of this earth will sink into the grave with them.
— Adolf Hitler
It is unlikely that anything quite like human beings will come this way again. The resources that have made humans what they are will be gone, and there may not be time before the sun burns out for new deposits of fossil fuel to form and intelligent new scavengers to evolve. The universe seems to have had a unique beginning, some ten or twenty billion years ago. Since that time, a star had to live and die to provide the materials for the solar system—which, itself, is several billion years old. Perhaps life could not have happened any sooner than it did. Perhaps Homo sapiens could not have evolved any sooner. Or later. Perhaps everything has its season, a window of opportunity that opens for a while, then shuts.
— David Price
Other factors remaining constant, culture evolves as the amount of energy harnessed per capita per year is increased, or as the efficiency of the instrumental means of putting the energy to work is increased. … We may now sketch the history of cultural development from this standpoint.
— Leslie White, "White's Law"
Jerry Abbott's comment: White's Law leaves too much implicit. Other factors are not constant, and in particular the racial factor in those "instrumental means" is an important variable. Race can be thought of as an index to the efficiency with which energy is transformed into culture. Some races of humans transform energy into culture with great efficiency; other races do so only inefficiently, if at all.
Any number of factors could be cited as the 'causes' of collapse. I believe, however, that the collapse will be strongly correlated with an epidemic of permanent blackouts of high-voltage electric power networks worldwide. Briefly explained: When the electricity goes out, you are back in the Dark Age. And the Stone Age is just around the corner.
— Richard Duncan
How does this relate to the Bush cabal and the war in Iraq? The super rich of the world are in possession of this information. They know the cornerstone of Western civilization is electricity, powered mostly by oil, and they know it's running out. Their objective is to get control of all of it, for that incredible day that will soon arrive when the blackouts start. The blackouts, Duncan writes, will become more and more frequent until one day, most of the world will be blacked out, except for the super rich in their armored compounds. Don't think that Donald Rumsfeld's house will be blacked out. He and his friends will have cornered the electricity market (actually, he'll be dead by then, but his heirs and disciples will be in control of the power supply by then—and this is to say nothing about water). So the push into Iraq, and soon into Saudi Arabia, will be aimed at securing enough oil to forestall blackout day for the rich for as long as possible. The majority of the rest of the world will be plunged into darkness and primitivism long before that, and the world will evolve into a two-tiered system, even moreso than it is now. Because there will be those with power, and those who are left in the dark.
— John Kaminski, The Awful Secret
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That resigned submission to the terrible law of decay—that acceptance of the bondage of time by creatures who dimly feel that they could be free from it, but who find it hard to try to free themselves; who know beforehand that they would never succeed, even if they did try—is at the bottom of that incurable unhappiness of man, deplored again and again in the Greek tragedies, and long before these were written. Man is unhappy because he knows, because he feels, in general, that the world in which he lives and of which he is a part, is not what it should be, what it could be. He cannot wholeheartedly accept that world as his—specially not accept the fact that it is going from bad to worse—and be glad. However much he may try to be a "realist" and snatch from destiny whatever he can, when he can, still an invincible yearning for the better remains at the bottom of his heart. He cannot, in general, will the world as it is.
But a few people, as rare as the liberated ones, for whom time does not exist, and perhaps rarer, can and do. These are the most thorough, the most mercilessly effective agents of the death forces on earth: supremely intelligent, and sometimes extraordinarily farsighted; always unscrupulous to the utmost; working without hesitation and without remorse in the sense of the downward process of history and, whether they can see or not as far as that, for its logical conclusion: the annihilation of man and of all life.
Naturally, they do not always see as far as that. But when they do, still they do not care. Since the law of time is what it is, and since the end must come, it is just as well that they should draw all the profit they possibly can from the process that is, anyhow, sooner or later, to bring about the end.
Since no one can re-create the primeval, lost paradise—no one but the wheel of time itself, after it has rolled its full course—then it is just as well that they, who can completely forget the distant vision, or who never had a glimpse of its dying glow; they, who can stifle in themselves the age old yearning for perfection, or rather, who never experienced it; it is just as well that they, I say, should squeeze out of the fleeing moment (whether minutes or years, it matters little) all the intense, immediate enjoyment they can, until the hour comes when they must die. It is just as well that they should leave their stamp upon the world, force generations to remember them, until the hour comes for the world to die. So they feel.
It makes little difference what suffering they might cause to men or other living creatures, by acting as they do. Both men and creatures are bound to suffer, anyhow. Just as well through them as through others, if that can forward the aims of these people. The aims of these people—of men within time, par excellence—are always selfish aims, even when, owing to their material magnitude and historical importance, they transcend immeasurably any one man's life, as they actually do, sometimes. For selfishness—the claim of the part to more place and to more meaning than is naturally allotted to it within the whole—is the very root of disintegration.
— Savitri Devi, The Lightning and the Sun.
You know how insurance companies reserve the right to add to the list of circumstances for which their coverage does not apply...after you've already paid your money for a policy? Well, my auto insurance policy was recently changed as follows:
5. SECTION IV - PHYSICAL DAMAGE COVERAGES. b. THERE IS NO COVERAGE FOR LOSS TO ANY VEHICLE THAT RESULTS FROM (1) NUCLEAR REACTION. (2) RADIATION OR RADIOACTIVE CONTAMINATION FROM ANY SOURCE. (3) THE ACCIDENTAL OR INTENTIONAL DETONATION OF, OR RELEASE OF RADIATION FROM, ANY NUCLEAR OR RADIOACTIVE DEVICE.
Evidently, the insurance company doesn't want to suffer any loss in case China decides to fight over possession of the remaining Mideast oil. Strangely, there is another new clause in my policy exempting the insurance company from liability if a fungus damages my car, my other property, or myself. Is there a new fungoid biological weapon that I haven't heard about?
De winter begint binnenkort mijn broeder, waarom bent u niet bereid?
L'hiver est presque ici, mon frère. Pourquoi n'êtes-vous pas prêt?
Der Winter ist fast hier, mein Bruder. Warum nicht bereit?
L'inverno è quasi qui, il mio fratello. Perchè non siete preparati?
El invierno empieza pronto, mi hermano. Porque no estas listo?
The winter is almost here, my brother. Why aren't you prepared?
www.jabpage.org/posts/apocalypse.html
Kill Yourself Now
by And Avoid The Rush
Monday November 08, 2004 at 05:53 PM
Your life is like a candle Lighting your way A beacon in the darkness So snuff it right away
The world is like a oyster A fortune inside The pearl is waiting for you So clam up and die.
Insanity
by A Racist
Friday November 12, 2004 at 10:53 PM
The modern folly amongst western nations' liberals/conservatives is that race doesn't exist or matter.
http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/051788433X/qid=1100262796/sr=1-1/ref=sr_1_1/002-7055661-7129651?v=glance&s=books
As for me my religion forbids me to consider race doesn't matter :) Give me that old time religion, give me that old time religion...
See, in the old days midst my peoples, it was a wide spread belief that each person had a daimon or genius, and it didn't stop there. Every family had its own guiding spirit and every nation its sacred God which kept watch over it. The Romans' kept theirs secret, only the Pontifex Maximus knew the tutulary God of the Roman State, that way no other people could try and entice the God/dess to leave the Roman Gens (race) in the lurch. People are different, families are different, races are different, see...
Now this may all look like a madness itself (of course not on a par with the belief that families and individuals are all the same), but consider the first Golden Verse of Pythagoras:
First worship the Immortal Gods, as they are established and ordained by the Law.
Now we have been ignoring the Law ordained by God (an example of which are the Laws of Thermodynamics) and thus have ignored the Immortal Gods and now we are about to be punished. Taste the lash for denying me my religious rights you race denying madmen, for the Law of God is established and there is no escaping Gravity! He, he, he...
He's on the money
by Saying it as it is.
Tuesday November 16, 2004 at 01:55 PM
I've read Jerrys' material and I know for a fact that he has prepared in supplies and is living rural. He'll live, the liberals will die. Game over.
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